I would be surprised if the left makes it to the second round of voting. Everyone expects a second round between Le Pen and the Republican candidate. Republicans will do primaries this time (a novelty of sorts) and i know of quite a few leftists who will vote in the rigt’s primaries just so that Sarkozy loses them.
We all hate Sarko, and he could lose to Le Pen. His current rightist rival, Alain JuppĂ©, is believed to have the strongest chances right now. He’s the classic gaulist.
Marine Le Pen is much smarter than her father was. She will make a kilking in that election for sure, given terrorism, the economy, Hollande’s dismall ratings, etc. The brexit and now the Donald could have an impact, depending on how Trump’s first few months in the white house happen.