What is the current covid IFR (infection fatality rate)?
I am 73 and have assumed for at least the last 4–5 months that if I catch covid-19, my chances of survival are low.
However, just today, I decided to take a deep dive and determine what current info shows. I did a Google search and, after many, many false trails, hit the lodestar:
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html
If you scroll down to Table 1, you find out the following numbers in the most likely scenario:
Age Infection fertility Rate
0–19 0.00003
20–49 0.0002
50–69 0.005
70+ 0.054
Since I am closer to 70 than say 90, I reckon my chances of surviving a covid infection are close to what they are for the 50–59 group. Let’s call it 99%.
Needless to say, this is extremely encouraging. Also it substantiates what has been said about reopening schools and colleges.
What am I missing?
Using Fluther
or