I give it a solid 10% chance. For example: he might have ordered the Navy to shoot down the Russians who buzzed our ships. (Rather than grabbing electronic signal data that can and will be used for IFF identification at a later date.)
Trump has no scruples in the business world . That how he made is fortune. He had is businesses declare bankruptcy 4 times while he walked away with 4 billion by screwing the people who: lent him money, did work for him, sold him products, gave him tax breaks, supplied utilities, arranged land deals, etc.
He’d make sure he’d personally would profit from a war – as would Putin.
They did not get to be that rich by helping the poor or educating those that need help, or working in a soup kitchen. They both look at the world as a way to grab more wealth for themselves.